Description

This analysis provides a forecast of AVAX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-06-22 11.023029 12.915487 14.985918 17.412671 20.172236 23.205603 26.785039
2025-06-29 7.536476 10.005431 12.998316 16.861558 21.680829 27.456628 34.860523
2025-07-06 5.451439 8.021274 11.406125 16.120432 22.434493 30.507746 41.503554
2025-07-13 4.648097 7.428396 11.339470 17.117567 25.285832 36.246487 51.854092
2025-07-20 4.026768 6.926414 11.248248 17.966932 27.910961 41.804961 62.330857
2025-07-27 3.471111 6.395373 10.993259 18.480352 30.027455 46.749504 72.262454
2025-08-03 2.950158 5.809727 10.542300 18.593825 31.497357 50.810667 81.156653
2025-08-10 2.445559 5.148982 9.856813 18.217501 32.123423 53.604811 88.312004
2025-08-17 2.019086 4.542299 9.161237 17.711802 32.447257 55.900113 94.796534
2025-08-24 1.662408 3.995451 8.481947 17.130018 32.551279 57.804189 100.734120
2025-08-31 1.347303 3.465665 7.748439 16.345410 32.203425 58.907338 105.410378
2025-09-07 1.212557 3.295565 7.679445 16.766853 33.980839 63.605258 116.163180
2025-09-14 1.048068 3.042286 7.443623 16.916948 35.422982 68.076925 127.254180
2025-09-21 0.862305 2.697427 6.969678 16.556632 35.927379 71.047835 136.171143
2025-09-28 0.686940 2.328894 6.374300 15.857201 35.698463 72.687077 142.892959
2025-10-05 0.643125 2.305606 6.563973 16.845849 38.868850 80.692462 161.309888
2025-10-12 0.594566 2.255887 6.680908 17.684592 41.805433 88.453534 179.735748
2025-10-19 0.534728 2.155420 6.654174 18.191221 44.095656 95.140826 196.583195
2025-10-26 0.465511 2.004224 6.469592 18.303189 45.555950 100.324719 210.937806
2025-11-02 0.388406 1.800557 6.105568 17.931972 45.928382 103.397112 221.488575
2025-11-09 0.319799 1.601799 5.714030 17.433151 45.958356 105.771295 230.819635
2025-11-16 0.260662 1.415206 5.317266 16.859312 45.750004 107.628101 239.227530
2025-11-23 0.207033 1.226870 4.871760 16.085476 44.986844 108.265441 245.241410